Showing posts with label Ohio State University. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ohio State University. Show all posts

Economy recovering in many areas, but not others

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WASHINGTON (AP) -- The Midwest is starting to see a comeback in manufacturing and technology. Home sales are rising in parts of the Northeast. But states like Florida, Nevada and California, still suffering from the housing bust, remain depressed.

The economy's tentative recovery is occurring in pockets around the country, with some states and cities starting to rebound while neighboring areas still struggle, two government reports showed Wednesday.

They showed improving job markets in some Midwestern states, such as Indiana and Ohio. But other states, such as Rhode Island, posted new record-high joblessness.

In the Fed's latest survey of businesses nationwide, all but two of 12 regions showed at least some signs of improvement. Only the Atlanta and St. Louis regions reported weaker economic activity.

The survey found many parts of the country either stabilized or improved modestly over the past six weeks. The Boston, Cleveland and Richmond, Va., regions reported growing home sales, though the gains came from depressed levels.

But the picture is still far bleaker in places hit hardest by the collapse of the housing market. Florida reported a record-high jobless rate of 11 percent, according to the Labor Department. Nevada's climbed to 13.3 percent, also a record.

Michigan, home of the battered American auto industry, claimed the highest jobless rate in the country - 15.3 percent.

While Americans still hold tight to their wallets, pickups in housing and manufacturing activity are leading the budding recovery in most of the country, according to Fed's survey.

Economists warn that the improvements could fizzle, though, after gover! nment he lp is removed. For example, gains in the housing market could be threatened if a tax credit for first-time homebuyers is allowed to expire Nov. 30.

"The main story here is the economy is starting to turn around," said Robert Dye, senior economist at PNC Financial Services Group. "This is not a consumer-led recovery. This is very much a stimulus-led recovery. And it begs the question: What happens when the government supports are withdrawn?"

Factories have been increasing production as businesses restock depleted inventories. Part of that restocking was due to the Cash for Clunkers program this summer, which caused a brief burst in car sales.

By contrast, the Fed said the weakest link in the recovery is commercial real estate, with vacancies high across the country and businesses unable to get credit to buy or build commercial space.

The nation's unemployment rate climbed to a 26-year high of 9.8 percent in September, and is expected to top 10 percent this year. Economists predict it will rise as high as 10.5 percent by the middle of next year before slowly drifting down.

The Labor Department report said unemployment rose in 23 states last month. While layoffs have slowed, companies remain reluctant to hire. Forty-three states reported job losses in September, while only seven gained jobs.

The findings of the Fed survey will figure into discussions when Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleagues meet in early November. The Fed is expected to keep interest rates at record lows into next year to help foster the recovery.

Many analysts believe the economy started to grow again in the third quarter. Results will be out next week, and a return to growth would be a turning point for the economy after a full year of contraction.

The Fed survey, known as the Beige Book, offers anecdotal snapshots of economi! c and fi nancial activity nationwide from businesses which are on the front lines of the economy. Information for the report was collected before Oct. 13.

The tone "was more tentatively positive," said economist Jennifer Lee at BMO Capital Markets. "Not super-duper-jumping-up-and-down-with-great-excitement positive, but slightly more optimistic than seen in recent reports."

Among the findings: Dallas said there were slight improvements in residential real estate and at staffing firms. New York saw gains in manufacturing and retail. Philadelphia, Cleveland and San Francisco cited small pickups in manufacturing. Kansas City noted improvements at technology companies, while Richmond posted revenue gains at service companies.

By region, the West had the highest unemployment rate, 10.6 percent. The South's was 9.3 percent, and the Northeast had the lowest, 9 percent. The Midwest, at 9.8 percent, was the only region where joblessness fell from the month before.

Indiana, for example, has benefited from a rebound in the auto sector and a healthy medical device industry, and unemployment has dropped two months in a row, said Robert Guell, an economics professor at Indiana State University in Terre Haute.

He's no longer skeptical that the improvements have been a fluke. "It does look green shoot-like," he said.

The state is home to many auto parts and assembly plants, which are ramping up production as General Motors and Chrysler replenish inventories depleted by the popular clunkers program.

In Ohio, the jobless rate fell to 10.1 percent, from 10.8 percent in August and 11.2 percent in July.

Lucia Dunn, an economics professor at Ohio State University, said the state has benefited from growth in financial services and technology companies. Recruiters from a JPMorgan Chase & Co. regional office frequently contact he! r seekin g candidates for economist and statistician jobs.

"Most people here feel that the worst is over," Dunn said.


23 states report higher unemployment in September

WASHINGTON - MARCH 05:  U.S. President George ...Image by Getty Images via Daylife

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Unemployment rose in 23 states last month as the economy struggled to create jobs in the early stages of the recovery.

While layoffs have slowed, companies remain reluctant to hire. Forty-three states reported job losses in September, while only seven gained jobs, the Labor Department said Wednesday.

Wednesday's report underscores the uneven nature of the recovery. The unemployment rate dropped in some Midwestern states as the manufacturing sector improved. But Florida and Nevada, two of the states hit hardest by the housing slump, reported record-high jobless rates.

Some of the states that lost jobs still saw their unemployment rates improve, as discouraged workers gave up looking for work. People who are out of work but no longer looking for jobs aren't counted as officially unemployed.

That trend was evident nationwide in September, as nearly 600,000 people dropped out of the work force, the department reported earlier this month.

The U.S. jobless rate rose to 9.8 percent in September, a 26-year high, from 9.7 percent. Some economists estimate it would have topped 10 percent if there had been no change in the labor force.

There were some bright spots in Wednesday's report. The Midwest region, hit hard during the recession by job losses in manufacturing, saw its unemployment rate drop for the second straight month, to 9.8 percent from 10 percent in August. It was the only region where the unemployment rate declined.

The Midwest benefited from sharp drops in unemployment in Indiana and Ohio. Indiana's jobless rate fell to 9.6 percent, from 9.9 percent in August and 10.7 percent in June.

Indiana added 4,400 j! obs, the most of any state, due to gains in manufacturing, services and government.

The state's jobless rate has dropped for two straight months, said Robert Guell, an economics professor at Indiana State University in Terre Haute, easing his skepticism that the improvement might have been a fluke.

"It does look green shoot-like," he said.

The state has benefited from a rebound in the auto sector and a healthy medical device industry, he said. Indiana is home to many auto parts and assembly plants, which are ramping up production as General Motors and Chrysler seek to replenish inventories depleted by the popular Cash for Clunkers program.

Honda Motor Co. also manufactures the Civic at a plant in the state, Guell said. The Civic was a major beneficiary of the clunkers program, which provided rebates to consumers who traded in old cars for newer, more fuel-efficient models.

Ohio, meanwhile, saw its jobless rate drop to 10.1 percent, from 10.8 percent in August and 11.2 percent in July.

Lucia Dunn, an economics professor at Ohio State University in Columbus, said the state has benefited in recent years from growth in financial services and technology companies. Recruiters from a JPMorgan Chase & Co. regional office frequently contact her seeking candidates for economist and statistician jobs.

"Most people here feel that the worst is over," Dunn said.

Still, Ohio lost about 6,000 jobs in September, and much of the improvement in its unemployment rate came from discouraged workers leaving the work force.

Nevada, Rhode Island and Florida last month posted their highest jobless rates on records dating to 1976, the department said. Fifteen states and Washington, D.C., reported unemployment rates of 10 percent or more.

Michigan reported the nation's highest une! mploymen t rate at 15.3 percent. It was followed by Nevada at 13.3 percent, Rhode Island at 13 percent, California at 12.2 percent and South Carolina at 11.6 percent.

Real estate continues to bedevil states that enjoyed a housing boom. Florida's jobless rate rose to 11 percent from 10.8 percent in August, as the state lost nearly 13,000 construction jobs. California lost 39,300 jobs, including more than 14,000 in construction. Nevada lost 3,500 construction jobs, though it boosted employment in services.

In Florida, the housing boom at one point reduced the state's jobless rate to 3.3 percent, said Sean Snaith, an economics professor at the University of Central Florida in Orlando.

But now, "the trough is as deep as the peak was high," he said.

Florida also lost population for the first time in 60 years in 2008, he said, leaving even more empty homes and condominiums.

The state's unemployment rate won't drop below 10 percent until 2012, Snaith predicts.

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